Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 31.670536 36.456213 41.624732 47.609677 54.336725 61.651627 70.194809
2024-12-29 24.209847 31.018365 39.061757 49.205129 61.589799 76.149688 94.486703
2025-01-05 20.150263 28.097803 38.167724 51.722305 69.329383 91.248838 120.397291
2025-01-12 16.075500 24.162157 35.056850 50.569275 71.805629 99.537345 138.103158
2025-01-19 12.759809 20.552748 31.656985 48.287695 72.139854 104.617547 151.566447
2025-01-26 11.677826 19.906175 32.176263 51.312483 79.787719 119.849839 179.526498
2025-02-02 11.144389 19.967663 33.657822 55.768932 89.723680 138.838202 213.868941
2025-02-09 9.888066 18.661049 32.843849 56.586121 94.229429 150.219591 237.937300
2025-02-16 8.662920 17.206012 31.582322 56.496678 97.225842 159.432741 259.235354
2025-02-23 7.546628 15.761965 30.139138 55.904025 99.277785 167.215291 278.689576
2025-03-02 6.645787 14.569245 28.964817 55.594493 101.676402 175.572113 299.374199
2025-03-09 5.981719 13.724908 28.294027 56.048702 105.308913 186.013848 323.803472
2025-03-16 4.900611 11.920718 25.730460 53.030810 103.041124 187.182883 334.225311
2025-03-23 4.496674 11.474224 25.705670 54.690542 109.143044 202.708760 369.246260
2025-03-30 4.245563 11.319759 26.231693 57.431490 117.386879 222.361666 412.271949
2025-04-06 3.646177 10.261749 24.779937 56.163336 118.135421 229.104111 433.780011
2025-04-13 3.034657 9.050724 22.830903 53.660319 116.293462 231.086791 447.083799
2025-04-20 2.942011 9.119309 23.674192 56.977134 125.896184 254.123186 498.511335
2025-04-27 2.958413 9.474783 25.198546 61.860080 138.906118 284.053319 563.640132
2025-05-04 2.705281 9.058643 24.891481 62.754994 143.982710 299.572553 603.525270
2025-05-11 2.421303 8.500062 24.171972 62.657049 147.003305 311.365635 637.143875
2025-05-18 2.141877 7.895716 23.256152 62.008024 148.796844 320.867253 666.913279
2025-05-25 1.910794 7.387963 22.511796 61.669019 151.196194 331.633404 699.525522